Transgender rights, ghost guns – and an election? The Supreme Court returns.

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As the U.S. Supreme Court begins a new term, events outside its marble walls could define the next eight months.

The justices are set to grapple with cases involving transgender rights, “ghost guns,” and fallout from the court’s decisions last term significantly weakening the regulatory power of federal agencies.

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Supreme Court terms always bring the potential for momentous rulings. Last term, in particular, featured historic decisions that will have cascading effects. How will those play out judicially once the court is back in session?

But with a presidential election in November – and lower courts deliberating over federal prosecutions against one of the candidates, former President Donald Trump – the most divisive and high-stakes questions may only reveal themselves in the coming months.

The Supreme Court now leans the most conservative it’s been in almost a century, and it would be surprising if the court doesn’t continue to deliver policy wins for Republicans, legal experts say. Whether the court will deliver electoral wins for the GOP is another question.

As the U.S. Supreme Court begins a new term, events outside its marble walls could define the next eight months.

The justices are set to grapple with cases involving transgender rights, “ghost guns,” and fallout from the court’s decisions last term significantly weakening the regulatory power of federal agencies.

But with a presidential election in November – and lower courts deliberating over federal prosecutions against one of the candidates, former President Donald Trump – the most divisive and high-stakes questions may only reveal themselves as the term unfolds.

Why We Wrote This

A story focused on

Supreme Court terms always bring the potential for momentous rulings. Last term, in particular, featured historic decisions that will have cascading effects. How will those play out judicially once the court is back in session?

The Supreme Court now leans the most conservative it’s been in almost a century, and it would be surprising if the court doesn’t continue to deliver policy wins for Republicans, legal experts say. Whether the court will deliver electoral wins for the GOP is another question.

“Cases will absolutely be brought,” says Amy Steigerwalt, a political scientist at Georgia State University, of the November election. “The court turned back those arguments the last time but left open some possibility that they might want to reconsider them in the future.”

Will the justices need to weigh in on the 2024 election?

Some 2024 election issues have already reached the high court. In August the justices allowed Arizona to partially enforce a proof-of-citizenship voter registration law. Two weeks ago they declined to let Green Party candidate Jill Stein appear on the Nevada presidential ballot, and a week ago they refused Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s request that he be added to the New York ballot.

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